Analysis of Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim win in Permatang Pauh by-election.

Haha.. Many of my friends have asked me to give my comments on the by-election result yesterday. I couldn’t able to do so yesterday as the schedule for the day was packed. Furthermore, I spent a lot of time waiting for the official result announcement by the EC which finally announced about 10 pm (I watched live from NTV7). You all know Malaysia..if things are not declared officially yet, there might be something done to undo certain changes.

KEPUTUSAN PILIHANRAYA KECIL PARLIMEN PERMATANG PAUH (P44):

Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim (KeADILan) : 31,195 undi

Hanafi Mamat (AKIM) : 92 undi

Datuk Arif Shah Omar Shah (BN) : 15,524 undi Jumlah mengundi : 47,258

Peratus keluar mengundi : 81

%Undi rosak : 447 undi

Majoriti : 15,671 undi

Penyandang : Datuk Seri Dr Wan Azizah Ismail (KeADILan)

Undi diperolehi 8 Mac 2008 : 30,348

Majoriti : 13,388 undi BN, Datuk Pirdaus Ismail : 16,950 undi Peratus keluar mengundi : 81.87 % Analysis of the by-election:

1. Most violated polls a) Two photographers who were on duty on nomination day were beaten up by a group of PKR supporters under the Butterworth-Kulim Expressway pedestrian bridge in Jalan Mengkuang.

ð PKR has the worst security guards records. b) The supporters broke into the Wanita Barisan Nasional operations room, threatened the voters and mobbed the vehicles used by Barisan leaders. c) Intruders broke into the hotel room of Wanita Umno information chief Datin Paduka Sharifah Noli Syed Hussein and stole two notebook computers containing important data. ð Anyone can do so. Maybe it just coincidence. d) The hostile behaviour of PKR supporters where they forced three tour buses to stop near the Butterworth-Kulim Expressway toll plaza at 2.45pm.

ð Thanks to Padang Serai MP N. Gobalakrishnan and his two sons who were arrested at the Seberang Jaya police station for allegedly blocking three buses from ferrying phantom voters. It was altogether 5 buses believed to be carrying the phantom voters. If they were not, why the buses and of course the passengers be detained? e) PKR supporters threw mineral water bottles at Deputy Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak when he visited the Jalan Semilang polling centre in Permatang Pauh ð It showed that the Malays no longer supports UMNO and Atlantuya case issue were not solved just by having ‘sumpah’ in the mosque and also the explanations given by Malaysia Ambassador to Mongolia during campaigning. 2. First time poll during weekdays. It is a clear attempt to reduce the number of voters. ð Thanks for CM Lim Guan Eng for declaring the election day as public holiday. 3. During Election Day, there was expected heavy rain and unexpected terrible traffic jams. The number of voters has reduced. ð However, the majority win had increased which signaled strong supports. 4. Most heavily funded. Chong Wei was brought back to Penang by Malaysian Royal Army Aircraft. 4 party components leaders from Sabah were being brought for campaigning. The presence was to explain that no MP will jump ship to Pakatan Rakyat. In addition, the ambassador to Mongolia also involved in the campaign. His presence was to deny the involvement of Datuk Seri Najib in Atlantuya case. ð How truth the involvement will be decided by the Court and the God. Not going to comment. One thing that attracted me as seen in TV3 news is the ambassador statement; ‘Atas kebijaksanaan saya dan Kerajaan Mongolia, kita telah berjaya menyembunyikan ibu dan ayah Atlantuya, PKR yang telah menghantar satu pasukan penyiasat adalah penipu kerana mengatakan mereka telah menemu ramah keluarga si mangsa’. - Wa..BijaknyA.. But the thing is why Atlantuya father made a press statement at PKR HQ regarding the twist and turn by Malaysia and the delay for the court case?

Analysis of the results:

1. Anwar won big majority bigger than what achieved by his dear wife. The number of voters has reduced but yet he managed to get higher majority. ð Supports for him had increased regardless of race as many believe he can become the next PM and can remove someone who should leave but remained to stay for unknown reasons. Perhaps, someone still does not accept the facts that the political tsunami is solely happened due to him. 2. BN candidate has gained lower number of votes. Even though his commands in --Hakka-- (should be hokkien) and Mandarin may be of advantage, it does not make significant effect as people wants a MP that can understand to their needs and to bring development to them. 3. The sodomy allegations on Anwar Ibrahim made no significant effect at all. ð People won’t believe to such allegation as it is considered ‘isu lapuk’. Allegations thrown by BN at this time and the statements by Saiful are indeed confusing and cannot be accepted. People also believe the PUSRAWI medical report is genuine. The change on statutory declaration by PI Subra is indeed questionable as he made changes within 24 hours and has since untraceable except the Government of Malaysia. 4. Permatang Pauh is majorly resided by Malays voters. Allegations that Anwar does not fight and protect the Malays are remained political allegations and people will not believe to such statement again. The Malays has generally supports for Ketuanan Rakyat. 5. The results shown that PKR, DAP and PAS can work together for common goals. They are on their way in forming the desired government by the Rakyat. ð Issue of PAS can’t work with DAP do not exist. They may have differences in perception of religion but other than that, the share the same visions that are to improve the quality of life of the Rakyat and to implement clear & transparent government but at the same time adopts the good morals as in Islam teaching but not towards forming an Islamic government. However, Islamic state can be practiced as in Kelantan and the current Kedah to be. 6. Results clearly showed the power of Rakyat. Rakyat choose their own PM and not as determined by political parties. Besides, it also shown that the fight for Ketuanan Melayu no longer is accepted by the people especially the Malays or being an issue jeopardized by certain political parties but the struggle now is for Ketuanan Rakyat. 7. Anwar make a comeback to Parliament after 10 years ‘long holidays’. Tun Mahathir comments: Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim may have won the Permatang Pauh seat and claimed his stake in Parliament, but he would not be able to get 30 MPs to switch to the Opposition to form the government. "The people sent a message at the March 8 polls and again in the Permatang Pauh by-election. Leaders should sit up and take stock of this. They want changes and they want it quick. Not in June 2010.

Datuk Seri Najib comments: Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim’s victory in the Permatang Pauh by-election shows that democracy is very much alive in the country. Datuk Ahmad Shabery Cheek comments: Barisan Nasional component parties should not feel upset over Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim’s win in Permatang Pauh. This was because Permatang Pauh was known to have been “Anwar's and PKR’s base”. “They should not feel too sad or upset. His win also didn’t take away any seat from the existing number of Barisan MPs. Dato Seri Abdullah comments: No comments. (As usual) Question of the day:

Will Anwar able to form new Government before or on September 16???

Last comment:

To whom who may concern,

Whatever changes take may take place in the next few days, months or years, please do consider the effects to the people. We may accept any transitions but it must be made with peace and no violence. We hope that whoever heading the Government will always take good care of the people and put aside their personal interests. We are the one who make the changes today and we may undo it in future.

Thank you.